Red Right 88

In Cleveland, hope dies last

Archive for the month “January, 2011”

How close are the Browns to winning?

Watching the playoffs this weekend got us dreaming of a Browns playoff game and wondering how far the Browns really are from being a winning team.

After watching the Pittsburgh-Baltimore game we were left with the feeling that the Browns were years away from fielding a competitive team, and with the Steelers and Ravens playing in the same division, things don’t look good.

But is that really the case?

Of the eight teams playing this weekend, the Browns faced five of them a combined seven times this year. And the results made us feel a little better. Consider that the Browns:

  • were driving for, at worse, a game-tying interception against Atlanta before Jake Delhomme threw a TAINT with four minutes to go.
  • pushed the Jets into overtime before losing with 16 seconds left.
  • were one of only two teams to beat New England this year
  • were competitive against Baltimore, losing by a touchdown in Week 3 and by 10 in Week 16 when the Browns were hit with numerous injuries
  • had their struggles with Pittsburgh, most notably in the season-ending game when, once again, injuries left them at a competitive disadvantage

So maybe the team isn’t as bad as its 5-11 record would look on the surface.

And maybe that explains some of the comments team president Mike Holmgren made at the end of the season when he said, “We want to win here in Cleveland and we did not win enough games this year. … I have high expectations and I’m not going to settle, I’m just not going to settle.”

It’s great that Holmgren isn’t willing to settle for the same old same, but we do have to pause and wonder how closely his desire matches the team’s current reality.

***

Did you hear? John Fox and Jon Gruden are WINNERS! Or so says The Plain Dealer’s Tony Grossi, who apparently is miffed that Holmgren didn’t take his counsel when Holmgren was searching for a new coach.

How else to explain this exchange in his weekly Hey, Tony segment:

Hey, Tony: How come you make excuses for the shortcomings of the coaches you like, for example you used the laughable excuse that “Jon Gruden fell into the veteran trap.” Kinda makes you sound like a shill for some coaches. — Michael B, Dover, Ohio

Hey, Michael: Call it what you will. I think there are two types of coaches — winners and losers. Winners are the coaches with winning records. Losers are coaches with losing records. It is not complicated. I believe there are underlying reasons why certain coaches win and others don’t. I’m talking about career records, not just one or two seasons affected by injuries. Jon Gruden: winner. John Fox: winner. Bill Parcells: winner. I frown at excuses like, “Well, he played a tough schedule.” Or, “He didn’t have the players.” Over the course of a coach’s career, those excuses don’t wash. Gruden was fired after consecutive seasons of 9-7. Winner.

Yep, that’s the same Jon Gruden who had a 45-51 record over his final six seasons in Tampa. And the same John Fox who put together a 73-71 record in nine seasons in Carolina.

Fox’s record includes a 10-22 mark over the past two season. Why does that record sound familiar?

True winners, for sure.

***

The Browns plan to interview Dave Wannstedt and Dick Jauron this week for the team’s vacant defensive coordinator position, according to The Plain Dealer.

Wannstedt was defensive coordinator in Dallas under Jimmy Johnson and the Cowboys went from 20th in his first year to 1st in his fourth year in yards allowed. In his five years as head coach in Miami, the Dolphins ranked in the top 10 each year in yards allowed.

Not a bad alternative if they can’t land Jauron.

What do the Browns have in Pat Shurmur?

Now the the exhaustive search is over, the press conference is finished and the deed is done, Browns fans are left wondering just what the team has in new head coach Pat Shurmur.

We watched the press conference and listened to what Shurmur, team president Mike Holmgren and general manager Tom Heckert had to say. We’ve read the stories and blogs and we’re still not sure what the Browns have. After everything, we’re left with a feeling of … extreme neutrality … a preponderance of beige, perhaps.

Part of the problem is that once the Browns decided to fire Eric Mangini and move in another direction, it was easier to focus on who we didn’t want coaching the Browns, rather than who we did:

  • Jon Gruden: overrated
  • John Fox: mediocre coach
  • Bill Cowher: never going to happen
  • Jim Harbaugh: college coaches fail miserably at the NFL level

And with no “hot” coordinator on the market, we were left feeling lukewarm about the potential candidates. Unfortunately, being on the fan side of the equation means we don’t know what Shurmur or the other two candidates the Browns interviewed – Mike Mularkey and Perry Fewell – were like during the interview process. We don’t have an opportunity to be sold on a potential coach the way a team does.

The same thing happened in Pittsburgh when Mike Tomlin was hired. Tomlin wasn’t a big name – in his one year as defensive coordinator in Minnesota the Vikings were last in pass defense – but he was impressive in the interview and got the job.

Have the Browns finally found their Mike Tomlin? Only time will tell. Of course, would Mike Tomlin still be coaching in Pittsburgh if he didn’t have Dick LeBeau as his defensive coordinator?

That hits at the heart of the Browns on-going problem with constant turnover in the coach’s office: the Steelers are successful because they have talented players, certainly, but also because they have a system in place and they select players that fit the system. They don’t switch philosophies every few years, necessitating continued turnover of the roster.

This is where Shurmur needs to make his mark.

Right or wrong, real or perceived, Holmgren made the decision that his philosophy could not mesh with Mangini’s. There’s something to be said for having everyone 100 percent on the same page if the Browns are going to finally be a team that can compete on an annual basis.

If Holmgren knows the type of players that fit the West Coast offense, and Heckert knows how to find those players, and Shurmur knows how to coach them, then the Browns are on the right track.

There is no such thing as a universal right or wrong offense or defense to run. The right offense (or defense) for a particular team is the one that maximizes the abilities of the players on a certain team. If the Browns decide they are going to run the West Coast offense, and everyone involved knows how to get the players needed and coach them properly, then that’s the right offense for this team.

For all the talk about how the AFC North is a smash mouth division, the other three teams in the division pass the ball a lot. In Saturday’s playoff game, Pittsburgh threw the ball 32 times while Baltimore threw it 30.

Not exactly three yards and a cloud of dust yesterday at Heinz Field.

The one part of Shurmur’s introductory press conference that we keep going back to was when he talked about how he sees the coach’s role as that of an educator: “We take highly motivated, talented people and then we teach them to do very basic tasks, then we tie it all together. Then we go out and let you folks evaluate it and try to have those tasks point to efficient football and winning. The foundation of what we do is teach. “

That teaching refers to not only coaches to players, but from Holmgren to Shurmur, and not just now in Berea. You can trace the educational path all the way back to Paul Brown, who taught Bill Walsh in Cincinnati; Walsh taught Holmgren in San Francisco, Holmgren taught Andy Reid in Green Bay, and Reid taught Shurmur in Philadelphia.

That’s quite a wealth of accumulated knowledge.

But can Shurmur translate all of that into wins? That’s the big unknown.

We hope Shurmur took time to watch Saturday’s game between the Steelers and Ravens and keeps the game tape handy in his offense. Because that is what the Browns must face four times a year.

And if they can’t get past the Steelers and Ravens, then all the talk of being on the same page and meshing of philosophies will just be a lot of hot air.

Playoff Picks – Divisional Round

The Divisional Playoffs are here, which means we’re down to the final seven games in the 2010 Cheddar Bay Invitational at Cleveland Frowns.

After a respectable Wild Card Weekend, we’re in first place – or right on the cusp of first, we’re waiting for the independent audit to come back on last week’s results – and ready to keep rolling this weekend.

We like:

Atlanta (-2.5) vs. Green Bay. Hopefully the two-week layoff didn’t leave the Falcons rusty. We’re banking on homefield here.

Chicago (-10) vs. Seattle. Although giving double digits with Jay Cutler (career record 24-29) at quarterback makes us very nervous. But it’s Seattle so …

NY Jets (+9) vs. New England. Sadly, the Rex Ryan traveling party of fun ends for another year this weekend. We fully expect the Patriots to win, we just think this game will be a close one.

Money pick: Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Baltimore. While we’d like to see both teams lose, someone has to win and it should be the Steelers. The good part is, no matter who comes out of this game, they will be so physically beat up they will have no chance next week against New England.

"We’re trying to win football games"

Well, at least we know one thing about new Browns coach Pat Shurmur: he wants to win football games.*

The Browns introduced Shurmur on Friday as their latest head coach.

“As you talk about our team and the goals for this team, it’s very simple; we’re trying to win football games,” Shurmur said during the press conference. “Our goal is to win the AFC North, to compete in the playoffs and win Super Bowls. Anything we talk about that doesn’t relate to winning, then, I think we’re getting ourselves distracted. We will make all our decisions based on winning and that process started yesterday.”

While Shurmur, who was joined at the podium by team president Mike Holmgren and general manager Tom Heckert, was understandably vague about his plans, he did shed some light on what the Browns will look like under his watch.

“I think the running game is very important,” Shurmur said. “Everything starts up front. You need to have a gritty offensive line to block the run and protect the passer. From that standpoint, the next most important guy is the quarterback, how he plays and how efficient he is. I think it’s very important we run the ball, but in the NFL you have to be able to efficiently and explosively throw the ball. That’s something we have to get done.”

We liked his answer to the question of how he relates to players:

“I would say my relationship with players is very professional,” Shurmur said. “I believe players are different. Coaches are different. I will say we have to do the very best to get our players to be the best they can. Some guys, a couple quiet words will get them to be their best. I think the key is to get to know your players as best as you can and communicate with them in those ways.

“We take highly motivated, talented people and then we teach them to do very basic tasks, then we tie it all together. Then we go out and let you folks evaluate it and try to have those tasks point to efficient football and winning. The foundation of what we do is teach. “

That’s good. Often coaches fail because they try to treat every player the same. One of the keys to being successful, besides having talented players of course, is figuring out which players need a pat on the back and which ones need a kick in the ass. Shurmur seems to get that.

The one statement that gave us pause was when Shurmur said, at least initially, he would handle the play-calling duties.

“Yes, initially I will start out by calling the plays,” he said. “That really is the fun part. In terms of hiring the coordinators, the staff in general is an ongoing process. We’re actively pursuing the guys we want to come to Cleveland.”

That doesn’t sound like a very good idea to us. With so much going on during the game on Sunday, we’d prefer to have our head coach focusing on everything, not just the next play call on offense.

Holmgren, Heckert and Shurmur left little doubt that all three are on the same page when it comes to turning the Browns around.

“I think the relationship that I have with Tom and Coach Holmgren is part of the strength of what we’re going to embark on,” Shurmur said. “I think we have a collective view of what it takes to win in this league and we’ll be able to put that into play.”

“Like Pat said, from the day he walked in the door, we were on the same page,” Heckert said. “Everybody says they want the character and hard work and stuff, but we’ve been through it together and we’ve done it with getting those players. I think we are on the same page when it comes to players and what we are looking for, and we’ve done it together before. That can’t be a negative.”

“We cannot keep changing around here every two or three years,” Holmgren said. “You can’t do that and expect to be successful, you can’t do that. My hope and why this was so important and why I’m very excited, I see these two men working together. I can envision certain things where it’s a pretty good fit and my hope and prayer is that now the changes stop. Now the growing and building begins. I think we took some strides last year. My hope is this is the coach and this will be the coach for a long, long time. That was part of the thinking.”

So now the deed is done. Shurmur is on board as Browns coach, he needs to get busy filling out the coaching staff – reports have the Browns looking at Dick Jauron as defensive coordinator, which would probably mean a transition to a 4-3 defense, and Mike McCoy as offensive coordinator.

There are free agents, both the Browns and others, to look at, the draft to prepare for, plus a long list of other items.

In other words, it’s time for the team to start focusing on winning games, because everything else is just a distraction.

*We still don’t know, however, where Shurmur stands on the great question of field goals vs. touchdowns.

Holmgren grabs his man …

… but will Browns fans regret his decision?

The team made its move on Thursday, hiring St. Louis offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur as the Browns fifth head coach since 1999.

“It’s an honor and a privilege to join an organization with such a rich history and tradition as the Cleveland Browns,” Shurmur said in a press release. “I have the utmost respect for Coach (Mike) Holmgren and Tom Heckert and I am impressed with the direction in which they have this franchise going.”

“I am extremely excited about having Pat Shurmur as the next head coach of the Cleveland Browns,” said team president Mike Holmgren. “Pat is a bright, young man who grew up in football and around the coaching profession. I came away from our interview very impressed with him as a person, his extensive knowledge of the game and his track record of success as an assistant coach in this league. Most importantly, I feel as though he possesses the necessary qualities which make him the right man to lead our football team.”

Hopefully Shurmur will last longer than Chris Palmer (two years), Butch Davis (less than four years), Romeo Crennel (four years) and Eric Mangini (two years).

If he doesn’t, Holmgren will have a lot of explaining to do and the team will be even further away from contending than they stand right now.

So what do we know about Shurmur?

He has never been a head coach at any level. Of course Davis and Mangini came to town with head coaching experience and they both washed out without turning the Browns into winners.

He learned the West Coast offense under Andy Reid in Philadelphia for 10 years, spending seven of those years as the Eagles quarterback coach. Seems reasonable to expect the Browns to embrace that offense more fully next season.

He was QB coach in Philly when Donovan McNabb earned three trips to the Pro Bowl.

He is familiar with general manager Tom Heckert, who held various positions with the Eagles for eight years while Shurmur was there.

With such a strong connection to the Eagles and Andy Reid, Shurmur should have little trouble getting on the same page as Holmgren and Heckert, which is key to the team’s success. If the Browns have a philosophy that all three share and buy into, it will be easier for Holmgren and Heckert to give Shurmur the types of players he needs to succeed.

He has no connection to the Bill Belichick coaching tree or the Baltimore Ravens. The Browns have relied entirely too much on those two avenues (Mangini & Romeo; former general managers Phil Savage and George Kokinis) in recent years. It’s refreshing to see Holmgren break this cycle of dependency.

Under his control, the Rams offense ranked 29th and 26th the past two years.

He’s no stranger to working with young quarterbacks. Shurmur spent the 2010 season mentoring rookie Sam Bradford. Under his direction, Bradford completed 354-of-590 attempts for 3,512 yards and 18 touchdowns. His yardage total was second-most ever by a rookie, as only Peyton Manning threw for more yards in his first season, 3,739 in 1998. Bradford also set a rookie record with 174 consecutive attempts without an interception.

“This is a great opportunity for Coach Shurmur,” Bradford told The St. Louis-Post Dispatch. “I really enjoyed working with him last season and he truly helped my transition from college to the NFL game. I think he will be a really good head coach.”

He’s not a “name” coach, such as John Fox, Jon Gruden or Bill Cowher. But that’s OK, Gruden is a joke, Fox is just an average coach and Cowher is never coming to Cleveland. Throw in the fact that no Super Bowl-winning coach has ever won a Super Bowl with a second team and it’s clear there was no reason for the Browns to go down that road.

So what don’t we know?

How Shurmur will handle running the team. Can he see the big picture? Can he put together a productive practice schedule? Can he manage all the unexpected details that come up on Sundays?

St. Louis running back Stephen Jackson thinks so.

“I knew it would not be long before Coach Shurmur got a head coaching job in this league,” Jackson told The St. Louis Post-Dispatch. “He was a good coordinator for the Rams and on Sundays, he got the most out of his players and always had us in a position to win the game.”

Who will his coordinators be? Brian Daboll is certainly out and it appears that Rob Ryan won’t be back. Who’s running the show on offense and defense?

How much can he get out of an offense that still has no quality at wide receiver, a shaky to bad right side of the offensive line and only one threat in the running game?

Most importantly, where does he stand on the field goals vs. touchdowns debate?

Seriously, though, it’s clearly too early to know if this whole thing is going to work out or not. Shurmur is a first-time head coach and there are going to be growing pains. Hopefully having Holmgren around will shorten the learning curve considerably.

Also, there is no universal right offense or right defense in the NFL. The only correct offense or defense is the one that maximizes the talents of the available players.

If Holmgren knows what type of player is needed for the West Coast offense, and if Heckert can get those players, and if Shurmur knows how to coach that offense, then it is the “right” offense for this team. What’s most important is picking an offense and defense and sticking with it so the team can be built to succeed in the particular schemes.

For now we remain optimistic. The Browns have had a lot of practice hiring coaches since 1999, maybe it is time for all that preparation to finally pay off.

***

Lot’s of opinions on this:

Shurmur not a bad pick: Terry Pluto

Is Shurmur Better than Eric Mangini? Bill Livingston

Shurmur may not catch a break from the hoople heads: Bud Shaw

Hiring Shurmur ultimate test for Mike Holmgren: Marla Ridenour

Our New Nepotistic Golden Age? Cleveland Frowns

Shurmur leaves an angry crowd behind: St. Louis Post-Dispatch

"This, by far, is the bottom."

After losing by a franchise-record 55 points to the Lakers on Tuesday night, Cavs forward Antawn Jamison spoke for Cleveland fans everywhere.

“It can’t get any worse than this,” Jamison said in published reports. “If it is, y’all going to have to help me. I don’t know how much of this I can take. This, by far, is the bottom.”

The loss, and Jamison’s comments, got us thinking about a question we saw posted on Twitter last week asking if this is the worst all three Cleveland teams have been at the same time.

At first we thought that couldn’t be possible. There were some bad Indians, Cavs and Browns teams in the ’70s and ’80s, but after looking into it, this may truly be the darkest time in Cleveland sports in the past 40 years.

While there have been times when two of the three local teams have been bad – 1983 for example, where the Cavs finished up the ’82-’83 season 29-53 and the Tribe lost 92 games that summer – the Browns were respectable, going 9-7 that fall.

We found two examples that rival what we are going through right now:

  • The ’90-’91 Cavs went 33-49, the ’91 Indians lost 105 games and the Browns went 6-10 that fall.
  • That was topped in ’03 when the Cavs were finishing off a 17-65 season, the Indians spent the summer losing 94 games and the Browns went 5-11 in the fall.

But it sure seems worse now. The Indians are coming off a 93-loss season and playing in a league without a salary cap and no hope of competing with teams that can spend $5 or $6 for every $1 the Tribe spends.

The Cavs are injury-riddled and currently are surrounding Jamison and Mo Williams with a roster of D-League bench warmers. In a superstar-driven league, the Cavs don’t have one and their 8-30 record proves it.

The Browns are coming off consecutive 5-11 seasons and are currently searching for their fifth head coach since 1999. (Although they may be closing in on Rams offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur).

We have to believe there is something better out there, that things can’t stay the way they are. After all, we’re not Bengal fans.

But right now it sure is hard to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

Finally Some Good News in Browns Town

Jon Gruden saved the Browns from potentially making a horrible mistake when he announced late Monday that he will not be coaching in 2011 and will return to the network booth as a football analyst.

Fans all across Brownstown thank you for this Jon. Now we don’t have to fear that team president Mike Holmgren will lose his mind and bring in a coach who is inexplicably linked to every job opening despite having a 45-51 record in six years in Tampa after he won a Super Bowl with Tony Dungy’s players.

Seriously, did we really want this to be the face of the franchise?

And there was more good news as wide receivers coach George McDonald is leaving the team.

After the performance of the receivers this year, this move is clearly a classic case of addition by subtraction.

***

It’s never to early to start thinking Browns draft picks.

***

The Cavaliers are on pace to be the worst defenders of the three-point shot in league history.

Somewhere, someone is trying to figure out a way to blame this on Mike Brown.

***

Twenty-four years ago today this happened. You’ll excuse us if we go and bury our head in a bucket of Maker’s Mark right now.

What if the Browns had hired Rex Ryan?

While watching this weekend’s playoff games we decided to put on our Hindsight Hat and wonder:

What if the Browns had hired Rex Ryan as coach in 2009? Would it have made a difference?

After Saturday’s victory against Indianapolis, Ryan has now led the Jets to three road playoff wins in two seasons. By comparison, the Browns have won two road playoff games in franchise history: the 1955 NFL Championship game against the Rams and a 1969 playoff game against Dallas.

That’s it.

The Jets have also won 20 games over the past two seasons. The Browns haven’t won 20 games in a two-season span since the 1987 and 1988 seasons.

There’s no doubt his personality would have fit in here; just look at his brother Rob, the Browns defensive coordinator. And the two Ryans working together on the Browns defense certainly would have produced positive results.

Rex Ryan talks a big game and he gets his players to back it up.

But would the Browns be in a better situation than they are right now? That’s hard to say. We still would have liked to see Mangini come back for another year of working with Mike Holmgren and Tom Heckert.

Even if the Browns had hired Ryan over Mangini, the team would still have had to hire a general manager. Would that have been Tom Heckert? Seems doubtful and we like what we’ve seen of his work so far.

Same with Mike Holmgren. If the Browns had played better in ’09 then owner Randy Lerner may not have felt pressure to bring in someone like Holmgren.

And they would still have needed a quarterback, wide receivers, etc. The situation was still one that couldn’t be fixed over night.

That’s the thing when you play the “what if” game, there are so many variables involved that there is really no way to come up with a definitive answer.

There’s one thing we are sure of, though: things would be a lot more interesting. Of course, not everyone would agree.

***

ESPN continues its campaign to dump on Cleveland as much as possible.

***

First came the news that Anderson Varejao will miss the rest of the Cavs season with a torn tendon in his foot; then today word comes down that Christian Eyenga is in a walking boot.

No word, though, on if Eyenga picked up one of the Browns spare boots for his injury.

***

Giants defensive coordinator Perry Fewell is in town to interview on Tuesday for the Browns coaching job.

***

King Kenny brings hope to Liverpool even in defeat. Dude, we could use a big shot of hope around here right about now.

***

Athletes and Twitter are always good for a laugh.

Grading the Browns Receivers

Coming into the 2010 season, we knew the Browns were not exactly deep at the wide receiver position, but we thought the receivers might make enough progress to actually help the Browns out.

Well, that clearly didn’t happen. When your tight end leads the team in receptions – and your running back is second – you know you are not getting production out of the wide receivers.

Now, there is a growing movement that says it takes until their third year for wide receivers to really learn the game and consistently succeed on the field. Trying to compare starters Mohamed Massaquoi and Brian Robiskie – both second-year players – to the league as a whole probably is a bit unfair. Yes, they are starters who were drafted in the second round, but they are only second-year players.

So we compared them to their peer group – the other 30 second-year receivers who accumulated stats this year – and the numbers still are not pretty.

MoMass was 14th in receptions and yards; Robiskie was 16th in receptions and 18th in yards. Massaquoi was 11th in average yards per catch while Robiskie was 26th – too many of those 5-yard receptions on third-and-six.

Finally, Massaquoi was 14th in touchdown receptions; Robiskie was 11th.

In other words, these guys really weren’t very good and it is hard to see either of them making a big enough leap next year to make the Browns better.

When you look at the numbers from the second-year receivers, it’s easy to see how players such as Hakeem Nicks (Giants), Percy Harvin (Vikings), Jeremy Maclin (Eagles), Austin Collie (Colts), Brandon Tate (Patriots) and Mike Wallace (Steelers) put up solid numbers. It’s not realistic to expect Massaquoi and Robiskie to match anyone from this group.

But what about Brandon Gibson and Danny Amendola from the St. Louis Rams?

Amendola had 85 receptions – tops among second-year players and eighth overall – while Gibson pulled in 53 passes. All while playing with a rookie quarterback in Sam Bradford.

Oh, by the way, Gibson was a sixth-round draft pick while Amendola was an undrafted free agent.

So the excuses are pretty thin when it comes to trying to explain away the lack of production from the Browns starters. Massaquoi and Robiskie both try hard and their blocking skills add value to the running game, but it’s becoming more and more obvious they are not NFL-caliber receivers.

We will give both of them a D on the season.

As for the other receivers, Chansi Stuckey grew on us this year. He’s a decent third-down slot receiver who was second among Browns receivers this year with 40 catches. Josh Cribbs – who really should be a running back not a wide receiver – never got anything going this year, finishing with 23 receptions, only 3 more than last year, but did almost double his receiving yards.

A C for Stuckey and a D for Cribbs feels right.

At tight end, Ben Watson was a great pick-up, leading the team with 68 receptions and 763 yards. Those totals made him the fifth-best tight end in the league in receptions and yards. He was a reliable target for the trio of quarterbacks the Browns used this year.

Robert Royal has hands of stone and Evan Moore can’t stay healthy, so while Watson is a solid starter, at age 30 the Browns need to make sure they have a healthy, viable back-up behind him.

Let’s give Watson an A, Royal an F and Moore an incomplete.

When you look at the entire picture it’s clear the Browns need to upgrade the receiving position next year if they hope to take some of the pressure off the running game and give Colt McCoy someone to work with other than Watson and Peyton Hillis.

Did someone say AJ Green?

Wild Card Weekend Picks

We came across this article on the National Football Post highlighting eight late covers from NFL games this year.

Of the eight games listed, we had three of them this year in the 2010 Cheddar Bay Invitational at Cleveland Frowns, which in some way helps explain why we are only a half-point out of first place heading into the playoffs.

The games we hit on from the list were:

The Browns made the list as well for their Week 5 game against Atlanta.

Interesting that all three covers came on defensive touchdowns.

That leads us to this week’s picks for the Wild Card games. We like:

New Orleans (-10) vs. Seattle, although the weather forecast for Seattle makes us a bit nervous.

Indianapolis (-2.5) vs. the Jets. No weather concerns as the game is indoors, but Rex Ryan’s Churchill-like qualities scare us in a big game.

Green Bay (+2.5) vs. Philly

Money pick: Baltimore (-3) vs. Kansas City

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